Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 2.018895 2.317663 2.648479 3.042464 3.499596 4.014115 4.638288
2025-05-18 1.547065 1.941001 2.420098 3.047983 3.852664 4.853954 6.201575
2025-05-25 1.257731 1.674021 2.213067 2.966703 4.000340 5.378631 7.373024
2025-06-01 1.102321 1.539674 2.135848 3.015085 4.291022 6.093979 8.867772
2025-06-08 0.990745 1.442442 2.086078 3.080387 4.596301 6.850463 10.512090
2025-06-15 0.887325 1.339673 2.009829 3.088429 4.806542 7.480517 12.041729
2025-06-22 0.785653 1.224945 1.898644 3.023334 4.886677 7.908280 13.296123
2025-06-29 0.706819 1.135144 1.813299 2.984461 4.997106 8.388645 14.693685
2025-07-06 0.635495 1.048646 1.722200 2.922336 5.055823 8.781731 15.983759
2025-07-13 0.613024 1.039825 1.756676 3.075437 5.502774 9.900921 18.753014
2025-07-20 0.567456 0.986355 1.708824 3.076388 5.673247 10.537151 20.691207
2025-07-27 0.539111 0.959822 1.704550 3.154474 5.993989 11.490478 23.391743
2025-08-03 0.495103 0.905291 1.652765 3.154579 6.199422 12.316451 26.120985
2025-08-10 0.454835 0.854256 1.603694 3.158190 6.422766 13.234618 29.274018
2025-08-17 0.409516 0.787975 1.517104 3.073863 6.449828 13.742904 31.600010
2025-08-24 0.384384 0.758050 1.497614 3.124108 6.769569 14.931984 35.744688
2025-08-31 0.363595 0.734299 1.487384 3.191934 7.137172 16.286002 40.563600
2025-09-07 0.339337 0.700568 1.452388 3.200288 7.369344 17.360728 44.891620
2025-09-14 0.311085 0.655272 1.387644 3.132676 7.411640 17.982930 48.147528
2025-09-21 0.287976 0.618608 1.337526 3.092301 7.513942 18.770738 52.024795
2025-09-28 0.265360 0.580663 1.280394 3.027781 7.546189 19.383375 55.532505
2025-10-05 0.260505 0.582220 1.313094 3.186793 8.178571 21.696502 64.603822
2025-10-12 0.245379 0.558486 1.284307 3.187780 8.391910 22.897581 70.522666